Configure parameters and click "Run AI Risk Prediction" to see your analysis
| ID | Timestamp | Risk Level | Confidence | Supplier Rel. | Transport Delay | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No predictions yet. Run a prediction to see history. | ||||||
Algorithm: Random Forest Classifier with 300 decision trees. Each tree votes on the risk category (Low / Medium / High), and the majority vote wins. Probabilities are computed via soft voting across all trees.
Training Data: 5,000 synthetic records generated using domain-expert heuristics to simulate real supply chain behaviour. Features are scaled via StandardScaler before training.
Features chosen cover the five primary drivers of supply chain disruption: supplier reliability (historical performance), demand level (strain on capacity), transport delay (logistics bottlenecks), weather impact (external shocks), and inventory level (buffer availability).
Future improvements: Integrate real-time ERP data feeds, add LSTM time-series forecasting, incorporate geopolitical risk indices, enable multi-supplier network graph analysis, and add explainability via SHAP values per prediction.